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Futurisca A computational laboratory for the future
Sources

Every number, and where it came from

A hundred providers behind the map, sorted into four kinds. The difference between the four is the whole point, and it is marked on every number in the app rather than buried on this page.

The live desk

Thirty sources, one screen

Headlines, exchange rates, prediction markets, internet outages, tropical cyclones, quakes, volcanoes, outbreaks, launches, space weather, weather over every capital, two hundred and fourteen cameras. Each source is named beside what it feeds, each refreshes on its own clock, and none of them touches a simulation.

deskSix of the desk's panels, each with its own small motion.

Four words, and what each one promises

01

Measured

Somebody went out and counted it. A World Bank series, an earthquake magnitude, a tile of photography, the number of aircraft currently transmitting. If it is marked measured, the claim is that an organisation with its name on it observed it and published it.

02

Curated

Written down inside the plugin by hand, from operator publications, regulator filings and the industry’s standard public references, with the year it was checked. Every one of these is readable in the source file, which is the only form of verifiability that costs the reader nothing.

03

Derived

Computed here from something measured or curated. A rank, a ratio against a median, a composite index with published weights, a satellite position propagated from an orbital element set. Nothing new enters: it is the same facts asked a different question.

04

Modelled

Output of the simulation. Not an observation of anything, and marked as such everywhere it appears, on every panel, in every export and in every tooltip.

The live tier, and why the server fetches it

01

Orbital elements

CelesTrak, every six hours. The two line elements every satellite tracker on earth uses. Positions are not fetched: they are computed in your browser by SGP4, the standard model, for the exact second you are looking at.

02

Navigation interference

gpsjam.org, daily. Where aircraft are reporting degraded navigation accuracy, aggregated from transponder data. An inference from a symptom rather than a measurement of a transmitter, and the panel says so.

03

Earthquakes and emergencies

The United States Geological Survey and ReliefWeb, run by UN OCHA. Magnitude 2.5 and above in the last day, and humanitarian emergencies currently marked ongoing.

04

News and protest

The GDELT Project. Where the world’s English language coverage is being filed from, and separately where protest is being reported. Coverage is not incidence, which matters and is stated.

05

Markets

Stooq and CoinGecko. Indices, commodities and crypto. Nothing here feeds the model: it runs on annual national accounts, and a tick on an index is not an input to any of it.

06

Military aircraft and natural events

adsb.lol, a volunteer receiver network, and NASA EONET. What is transmitting a military identity right now, and open wildfires, storms, volcanoes and ice.

07

Headlines

Forty public newsroom feeds in eleven desks, every quarter hour: world, geopolitics, security, diplomacy, markets, technology, energy, science, health, cyber and crypto. Only the headline, the source and the link are kept, and each headline is read for the countries it names. The settings screen can replace the list.

08

Prediction markets

Polymarket, every quarter hour. The most traded open questions, with the price of yes as a probability and the day's volume. What people with money at stake believe, shown beside what the ensemble computes and never mixed with it.

09

Internet outages

IODA at Georgia Tech, every half hour. Where the internet has gone dark in the last day, by country, region and network, with how many of its three methods agree.

10

Cyclones, volcanoes, warnings

NOAA's National Hurricane Center for every active cyclone in its basins with intensity, pressure and movement; the Smithsonian's weekly volcanic activity report; and the extreme and severe warnings in force from the US National Weather Service and from Europe's national services through MeteoAlarm.

11

Launches, cyber, outbreaks

The next orbital launches with pad, operator and window from Launch Library; the vulnerabilities the US cyber agency says are being exploited in the wild, from CISA's catalogue; and the WHO's Disease Outbreak News, each notice placed at the country it names.

12

Weather, everywhere

Open-Meteo, over every capital the model carries and the two hundred and forty largest cities beside them, with current conditions and a three day outlook, and the weather over any site you open on the map.

13

Sanctions

The UN Security Council's consolidated sanctions list, read whole once a day: every individual and entity, the regime that listed them, when, and the country each is tied to. A ring on the map, a panel on the desk, a line in every dossier.

14

Refugees and the displaced

The UNHCR's population statistics for the latest year it has published: refugees and asylum seekers by the country they fled and the country that hosts them, and the internally displaced. Three base layers colour the world by them.

15

Armed conflict

The Uppsala Conflict Data Program's candidate monthly release: every event of organised violence with at least one death, placed, dated, with the two sides and the best estimate of the dead. A layer on the map, a panel on the desk, a term in the pressure index and a line in the dossier.

Fetched once by the site, never by you

Every one of these is open and needs no key and no account. They are still fetched by the server rather than by your browser, for three reasons: several of them send no CORS header and would refuse a browser outright, fetching once per site rather than once per visitor is the difference between being a good citizen of somebody else’s free API and being rate limited off it, and a hundred people looking at the map at once should cost the upstream service nothing.

Each source runs on its own clock. Orbital elements every six hours, because an orbit does not change faster than that. Aircraft every five minutes, because they do.

What this page is not

Not a count anybody padded

A hundred providers is what is actually wired in. It is not the largest number that could be defended by counting every wire service that GDELT indexes, and the app builds this list from the same catalogues the panels are built from, so it cannot describe a source the app no longer uses.

Not a claim of completeness

There are whole domains not covered here at all, and the roadmap says which. A source that is not on this list is not in the product.

Not permission to skip the method page

Good sources do not make a model right. Read the method page before quoting anything the simulation produced.

The same list is inside the app

Sources tab, generated from the catalogues rather than written out.

Open the simulator
Reference 10 / 10